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[[File:Sakura Zensen.jpg|thumb|right|250px|The cherry blossom front in south Japan, 2007]]
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The {{nihongo|'''cherry blossom front'''|桜前線|sakura zensen}} refers to the advance of the [[cherry blossoms]] across [[Japan]]. The [[Japan Meteorological Agency]] records the opening and full bloom of the blossoms from [[Kyūshū]] in late March to [[Hokkaidō]] in the middle of May. The advancing front is also the subject of regular reports by the major [[Japanese newspapers|news agencies]]. The cherry blossom is of great public interest in Japan thanks to [[Cherry blossoms#Symbolism|its symbolism]] and the custom of [[Cherry blossoms#Flower viewing|flower viewing]] known as ''[[hanami]]''.


==Forecasts==
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From 1951 the [[Japan Meteorological Agency]] produced forecasts for the [[Kantō region]] and from 1955 for the whole of Japan excepting [[Okinawa Prefecture|Okinawa]] and the [[Amami Islands]].<ref name="method">{{cite web |url=http://www.data.jma.go.jp/sakura/data/cb/kaisetu24sakura.pdf |title=新しいサクラの開花予想 |publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]] |accessdate=1 March 2012}}</ref> From 2010, the Agency left forecasting to the [[private sector]] although it continues to observe and determine the impact of the climate upon the flowering of the cherry.<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/press/0912/25a/091225sakura.pdf |title=気象庁におけるさくらの開花予想の発表終了について |publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]] |date=25 December 2009 |accessdate=1 March 2012}}</ref><ref name="Asahi">{{cite news |url=http://www.asahi.com/eco/TKY201103250234.html |title=桜の標本木、進む代替わり 老齢化で後進育成急ピッチ |date=25 March 2011 |accessdate=1 March 2012 |work=[[Asahi Shimbun]]}}</ref> The forecast is based on the [[Arrhenius equation]], with the formula
 
:<math>DTS = \exp ((9.5\times10^3).(\frac{T - 288.2}{288.2T}))</math>,
 
where T is the mean day temperature in [[Kelvin]] and DTS represents the number of days transformed to [[Standard conditions for temperature and pressure|standard temperature]].<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.data.jma.go.jp/sakura/data/cb/sakura.html |title=さくら開花予想方法について |publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]] |accessdate=1 March 2012}}</ref><ref>{{cite journal |url=http://ci.nii.ac.jp/naid/120001497252 |title=Climatological Studies on Blooming of Cherry Tree (Prunus yedoensis) by Means of DTS Method |language=Japanese (Abstract in English) |author=Aono Yasuyuki |journal=Bulletin of the University of Osaka Prefecture. Ser. B, Agriculture and life sciences |year=1993 |volume=45 |pages=155–92 |publisher=[[Osaka Prefecture University]]}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=http://filebox.vt.edu/users/ebren83/ai/final.doc |title=Predicting Peak Bloom Date of Cherry Blossoms: Finding an Optimal Heuristic |author1=Dass, Vidhya |author2=Brennan, Elizabeth |publisher=[[Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University|Virginia Tech]] |accessdate=9 March 2012}}</ref>
 
==Blossoming==
The day of opening<ref group="note">[[Japanese language|Japanese terms]]: {{nihongo|day of opening|開花日}}; {{nihongo|day of full bloom|満開日}}; {{nihongo|sample tree|標本木}}; {{nihongo|cherry blossom forecast|さくらの開花予想}}</ref> is defined as the point at which at least five to six flowers have opened on the sample tree. The day of full bloom is when at least 80% of the flowers have opened. The [[Yoshino cherry]] is typically observed since, from the late [[Edo period]], it has been planted across the [[Japanese archipelago|archipelago]].<ref name="Cherry">{{cite web |url=http://www.data.jma.go.jp/sakura/data/sakura2010.pdf |title=さくらの開花日と満開日 |publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]] |accessdate=1 March 2012}}</ref> Sample trees also include the [[Prunus subhirtella|Higan cherry]] in the south and ''[[Prunus sargentii]]'' (Sargent's cherry) in the north.<ref name="Cherry"/>
 
In 2006 it was reported that the cherry blossoms might overtake the [[plum blossoms]] before reaching Hokkaidō.<ref>{{cite news |url=http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/japan/1515097/Cherries-winning-the-blossom-race.html |title=Cherries winning the blossom race |author=Joyce, Colin |date=7 April 2006 |accessdate=1 March 2012 |work=[[The Daily Telegraph]]}}</ref>
 
==Sample trees==
[[File:Yasukuni 2008-3-28-2.jpg|thumb|right|250px|In [[Tokyo]] the sample tree specified by the Meteorological Agency is within the precincts of [[Yasukuni Jinja]]<ref name="Asahi"/><ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.yasukuni.or.jp/news_detail.php?article_id=0105 |title=境内の桜(東京の開花標本木)開花状況の映像 |publisher=[[Yasukuni Jinja]] |accessdate=1 March 2012}}</ref>]]
There are fifty-nine sample trees at any one time. Successor junior trees are selected from among prospective candidates when an incumbent becomes too old or is otherwise incapacitated.<ref name="Asahi"/> For instance, the sample tree in [[Mito, Ibaraki|Mito]] collapsed under the weight of [[snow]] in 2005, while that at the southern tip of [[Ishigaki Island]] was felled by a [[typhoon]] a year later.<ref name="Asahi"/> The fifty-nine sample trees are located across Japan, corresponding to the sites of the Agency's principal [[weather stations]]:<ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.data.jma.go.jp/sakura/data/sakura2012_kaika.html |title=Cherry blossoms 2012 - day of opening |language=Japanese |publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]] |accessdate=1 March 2012}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.jma.go.jp/jma/kishou/link/link1.html |title=Agency Weather Stations (気象台, 測候所) |publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]] |accessdate=2 March 2012 |language=Japanese}}</ref><ref>{{cite web |url=http://www.jma-net.go.jp/nagoya/hp/asl/oshirase/oshirase_090318.pdf |title=2009 revised forecast (Note 4. 気象台や測候所の定めた標本木) |publisher=[[Japan Meteorological Agency]] |accessdate=2 March 2012 |language=Japanese}}</ref>
* [[Okinawa Prefecture|Okinawa]]: [[Ishigaki Island|Ishigaki]], [[Miyako-jima]], [[Naha, Okinawa|Naha]], [[Minamidaitō]]
* [[Kyūshū]]/[[Yamaguchi Prefecture|Yamaguchi]]: [[Fukuoka]], [[Shimonoseki]], [[Ōita, Ōita|Ōita]], [[Nagasaki]], [[Saga, Saga|Saga]], [[Kumamoto, Kumamoto|Kumamoto]], [[Miyazaki, Miyazaki|Miyazaki]], [[Kagoshima]], [[Amami, Kagoshima|Amami]] ([[Gappei|formerly]] [[Naze, Kagoshima|Naze]])
* [[Shikoku]]: [[Takamatsu, Kagawa|Takamatsu]], [[Tokushima, Tokushima|Tokushima]], [[Matsuyama, Ehime|Matsuyama]], [[Kōchi, Kōchi|Kōchi]]
* [[Chūgoku region|Chūgoku]]: [[Hiroshima]], [[Okayama, Okayama|Okayama]], [[Matsue, Shimane|Matsue]], [[Tottori, Tottori|Tottori]]
* [[Kinki]]: [[Ōsaka]], [[Hikone, Shiga|Hikone]], [[Kyōto]], [[Maizuru, Kyoto|Maizuru]], [[Kobe]], [[Nara, Nara|Nara]], [[Wakayama, Wakayama|Wakayama]]
* [[Tōkai region|Tōkai]]: [[Nagoya]], [[Shizuoka, Shizuoka|Shizuoka]], [[Gifu, Gifu|Gifu]], [[Tsu, Mie|Tsu]]
* [[Kantō region|Kantō]]: [[Tōkyō]], [[Mito, Ibaraki|Mito]], [[Utsunomiya, Tochigi|Utsunomiya]], [[Maebashi, Gunma|Maebashi]], [[Kumagaya, Saitama|Kumagaya]], [[Chōshi, Chiba|Chōshi]], [[Yokohama]], [[Nagano, Nagano|Nagano]], [[Kōfu, Yamanashi|Kōfu]]
* [[Hokuriku region|Hokuriku]]: [[Niigata, Niigata|Niigata]], [[Toyama, Toyama|Toyama]], [[Kanazawa, Ishikawa|Kanazawa]], [[Fukui, Fukui|Fukui]]
* [[Tōhoku region|Tōhoku]]: [[Sendai]], [[Aomori, Aomori|Aomori]], [[Akita, Akita|Akita]], [[Morioka, Iwate|Morioka]], [[Yamagata, Yamagata|Yamagata]], [[Fukushima, Fukushima|Fukushima]]
* [[Hokkaidō]]: [[Sapporo]], [[Wakkanai, Hokkaidō|Wakkanai]], [[Asahikawa, Hokkaidō|Asahikawa]], [[Abashiri, Hokkaidō|Abashiri]], [[Obihiro, Hokkaidō|Obihiro]], [[Kushiro, Hokkaidō|Kushiro]], [[Muroran, Hokkaidō|Muroran]], [[Hakodate, Hokkaidō|Hakodate]].
 
==See also==
* [[Hanami]]
* [[Ueno Park]]
 
==Notes==
{{Reflist|group=note}}
 
==References==
{{Reflist}}
 
==External links==
* {{ja icon}} [http://www.data.jma.go.jp/sakura/data/sakura2012_kaika.html 2012 day of opening (JMA record)]
* {{ja icon}} [http://www.data.jma.go.jp/sakura/data/sakura2012_mankai.html 2012 day of full bloom (JMA record)]
* {{ja icon}} [http://www.data.jma.go.jp/sakura/data/sakura2011_kaika.html 2011 day of opening (JMA record)]
* {{ja icon}} [http://www.data.jma.go.jp/sakura/data/sakura2011_mankai.html 2011 day of full bloom (JMA record)]
* {{ja icon}} [http://www.data.jma.go.jp/sakura/data/sakura_kaika2000-2010.htm JMA flowering data, 1953-2010]
 
[[Category:Cherry blossom]]
[[Category:Japanese culture]]
[[Category:Japan Meteorological Agency]]

Latest revision as of 13:15, 22 November 2014

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